Predictability – Lean Agile Guru

Oct

19

2022

Measure and Visualize the Trend of “Actual over Planned” Ratio

Achievement Ratio, Control Chart, Predictability

There is a topic my new book, "SAFe Is Like ...", titled "Measure Actual Versus Planned" . It tackles the fact that a lot of us measure planned velocity and actual velocity; however, a lot of us stop short. Too short. We forget to go after two key and critical things needed to measure the probability of us meeting our promises (planned) against what we do – which in turn impacts our Predictability. These two, together, determine our Probabilistic Predictability! Our predictability is very important to people who are waiting for their "valuable things" to be delivered by us with…

May

07

2020

By Clarence Galapon

Predictability Versus Agility Part II

Agility, Predictability

Day 43. SAFe measures the predictability of the Solution Train (Large Solution level), Agile Release Train (Program Level) and Teams (Team level). Note: starting from SAFe 5.0, Program level and Team level became one and given a new name: Essential. Business wants delivery of value to be predictable. FedEx gets my business because of their 100% predictability. ‘The world on time’ is their slogan. Read my earlier post: Lessons From FedEx https://leanagileguru.com/2019/05/10/learn-from-fedex/ Predictability is alive and paramount in SAFe, yet SAFe remains Agile... and Lean! Business Agility is also paramount. ‘Business Agility’ is what SAFe 5.0 is all about... and…

May

06

2020

By Clarence Galapon

Predictability Versus Agility

Agility, Predictability

Day 42. It’s often stated by some folks that ‘predictability’ kills ‘agility’. Do you know why? To be continued... October 15, 2022: My new book, "SAFe Is Like ...", is now available on Amazon. What our students think about the Lean Agile Guru ("Author of SAFe is Like ...") -- click here You will get a FREE SIGNED COPY if/when you register, pay, and complete a class by the Lean Agile Guru.

Sep

14

2019

By Clarence Galapon

What to Do with Story Not Done

Predictability

Using your team's Definition of Done' (DoD), a Story is either done or not done. Period. No points credited to the team for that iteration for the perceived percentage of the 'Done' part of the Story. That story goes back to the backlog to be reprioritized with the rest, replanned, and resized (as a result of earlier work, more is now known and complexity lessened). The reason why people are so anal about receiving credit points to partially done Story is their quest for a favorable outlook of their own predictability ratio... which is the total points accepted divided by…

May

10

2019

By Clarence Galapon

Lessons From FedEx

Predictability

'The world on time' -- FedEx That tag line alone makes you pause, think and say to yourself: 'Yes, I'll send my valuable package via FedEx!' Why? One word: Predictability. Is your Agile Release Train (ART) predicable? Delivering business objectives as planned and committed to? Is your Agile Team predictable? Delivering iteration goals as planned and committed to? FedEx get my business because I can plan with their dependability and predictability. Business owners, product managers (product management) and product owners look for predictability of ARTs and Agile Teams... for them to keep delivering business value to the world on time…

Aug

30

2018

By Clarence Galapon

I Trust My Train! It is Very Predictable!

PPM Program Predictability Measure, Predictability

I do not sweat my early morning commute and late afternoon commute. I take the train to and from work. I can sleep whilst in transit. My train is on time all the time...therefore I can plan ahead with the published train schedule. My train is predictable! They even solved the "long queue" problem. I can purchase my ticket with the train's mobile app via my mobile phone whilst in transit...I jump into the train (not moving train of course) ... no need to queue at the train ticket station anymore! I trust my train! It's cadence (schedule/routine) is predictable...…